This section is made up of articles that speak to real estate trends in the Canadian and US markets.

Residential real estate markets across Canada post solid gains over past decade, says RE/MAX

Pent-up demand, population growth, tight inventory levels, and the longest economic expansion since World War II collectively fueled one of the best decades on record for residential real estate in Canada, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

RE/MAX Decade in Review 1997 - 2007 found that major housing centres across the country experienced strong consecutive growth between 1997 and 2007. Average price spiraled upward while unit sales climbed in tandem as more and more Canadians bought into homeownership. Nationally, average price almost doubled in the 10-year period, rising from $154,606 in 1997 to $307,265 in 2007, for a 7.1 per cent annually compounded rate of return. Home sales across the country increased just over 57 per cent from 331,092 units in 1997 to more than half a million sales last year. Edmonton led the country in terms of percentage increase in average price. The city saw a 203 per cent upswing in housing values - or an 11.7 per cent increase annually - with average price rising from $111,587 a decade ago to $338,636 in 2007. Prince Edward Island experienced the highest percentage increase in unit sales, with the number of homes sold up 119 per cent in the 10-year period.

"Immigration and in-migration have played a serious role in jumpstarting residential housing markets, particularly in British Columbia, Alberta, and to some extent, Saskatchewan over the past decade," says Elton Ash, Executive Regional Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. At first, there was an influx of American buyers, especially in Canada's coastal regions and recreational hot spots, as our southern neighbours took advantage of the almighty US greenback. Then the European and Middle Eastern purchasers flooded the market, buying up real estate considered 'cheap' by international standards. In recent years, there have been a growing number of purchasers from Mainland China. From a global perspective, there's no question that Canadian real estate brings good value to the table."

Percentage increases in home sales varied across the country, with Prince Edward Island experiencing the greatest upswing over the past decade, followed by St. John's at 106 per cent, Kelowna at 84 per cent, and Saint John at 77 per cent. Most markets (12 of the 19 surveyed) reported increases between 40 and 60 per cent. Average price has also seen substantial escalation over the 10-year period, with posted gains ranging from a low of 54.4 per cent in London-St.Thomas to a high of 203 per cent in Edmonton. Appreciation in Western Canadian markets surpassed all others between 1997 and 2007, with Calgary ranking second in terms of price appreciation at 189 per cent, Kelowna at 179 per cent, Saskatoon at 137 per cent, Winnipeg at 118 per cent, Victoria at 114 per cent and Greater Vancouver at 99 per cent.

In 2006, homeownership rates in the country were the highest on record at 68.4 per cent. Population growth has contributed to heated market conditions - especially in Calgary (+31.4 per cent), Edmonton (+20 per cent), Toronto (+20 per cent), and Vancouver (+15 per cent) where percentage increases have hovered in the double-digit range. Overall, Canada's population rose to almost 33 million in the 2006 census, up approximately 10 per cent from 1996 figures.

"The non-cyclical nature of the decade comes as some surprise," says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. "Never before have we seen such a continuous run up in Canadian real estate. Clearly, strength in all markets has been directly linked to solid growth in local, provincial and national economies. Low interest rates, job security, and consumer confidence have all served to further bolster home-buying activity across the nation."

Robust economic performance in Western Canada has also drawn job seekers from across the country, looking to capitalize on employment opportunities.

As demand for housing increased across the country, the supply of homes listed for sale began to contract. Multiple offers were commonplace in many areas, some with sales-to-listings ratios as tight as 80 to 90 per cent. Nationally, 1997 marked the first year since 1988 that the sales-to-listings ratio hit 50 per cent. The sales-to-listings ratio would remain above 60 per cent from 2001 onward - rising to as high as 68 per cent in 2002.

The decade was not without its obstacles - the high-tech meltdown, a US recession, 9/11, SARS, Mad Cow, a blackout that affected the entire Northeastern seaboard, natural disasters such as ice storms, hurricanes, and forest fires and more recently, the credit crunch south of the border. Given the continuation of sound economic fundamentals, it's expected that residential real estate markets across the country will continue to experience healthy activity, albeit at a more moderate pace.

RE/MAX is Canada's leading real estate organization with over 17,600 sales associates in more than 650 independently-owned and operated offices. The RE/MAX franchise network is a global real estate system operating in over 65 countries. More than 7,000 independently-owned offices engage nearly 115,000 member sales associates who lead the industry in professional designations, experience and production while providing real estate services in residential, commercial, referral and asset management.

Condominiums achieve unprecedented favour among Canadian homebuyers with double-digit sales gains reported in most major markets is 2007. 

Kelowna, BC (November 14, 2007) -- After more than three decades of slow but steady growth, the condominium concept has finally clicked with Canadian homeowners. The lifestyle has proven to be a solid investment in housing markets across the country, chalking up some of the most impressive gains in residential real estate in 2007, according to the RE/MAX Condominium Report released today.

Their universal appeal is substantiated, with every market reporting increased momentum in condominium sales volume over 2006 levels. In fact, 80 per cent of markets surveyed reported double-digit gains in sales year-over-year, with 53 per cent reporting increases over 20 per cent. The greatest growth was experienced in Canada's small to mid-sized markets. Leading the country, in terms of percentage increase in sales so far this year, are Kitchener-Waterloo (+59%), Regina (+57%), St. John's (+54%), and Saskatoon (+33%).

"The white picket fence, sprawling green lawn and tidy urban bungalow has become an unattainable ideal for many first-time buyers, especially in the West" says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. "By necessity, condominiums have become the only practical means to homeownership for a growing segment of the population. Today's entry-level purchasers aspire to manageable mortgage payments, sunset city views, and the non-stop action and amenities of central core living, all packed into 600 to 800 sqft. The momentum of the market in recent decades has redefined the home buying process."

While price appreciation on freehold properties, in particular, was the primary factor in the upswing, the strong desire among baby boomers to lead an active, carefree lifestyle has also driven the concept to unprecedented popularity. The RE/MAX Condominium Report identified Greater Vancouver as the strongest market in the country - where close to 60 per cent of all residential sales now involve a condominium. Condominium presence is also on the rise in centres such as Toronto, Edmonton, Calgary, Regina, Ottawa, and Hamilton-Burlington, where condos now represent 20 to 30 per cent of all MLS sales.

"Deteriorating affordability levels in major Canadian centres have lead to the resurrection of the condominium lifestyle in recent years," says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. "Condominiums are clearly the answer to the skyrocketing cost of land and shelter that has all but eradicated the dream of homeownership for many first-time buyers."

Condominium values were also up from coast-to-coast in 2007, with all major markets reporting an increase in average price. Thirty-three per cent of cities surveyed reported double-digit price appreciation. The most dramatic hikes were seen in Western Canada's red-hot housing markets, led by Saskatoon (+24%), Calgary (+22%), Edmonton (+19%), Kelowna (+16% town homes / +12% apartments), Vancouver (+14% town homes / +11% apartments), and Victoria (+9% town homes / +12% apartments).

At the top end of the market, condominium ownership has been equated with lifestyle. Throughout 2007, aging baby boomers fuelled demand for luxury condominium units. Upper-end activity was reported to be on the rise in all markets examined, with the greatest appreciation occurring in Edmonton (+154 %), Greater Toronto (+98 %), Victoria (+85 %), Winnipeg (+58%), Vancouver (+49%) and Kitchener-Waterloo (+39%). The maintenance-free factor, the ability to travel and to enjoy the best the city has to offer - from restaurants to recreation - were citied in overall condominium appeal.

"In years past, there seemed to be a ceiling in terms of what buyers were willing to pay for this type of product," says Polzler. "Widespread acceptance has seen that philosophy tossed out the window. In the upper-end especially, buyers have demonstrated a willingness to set new benchmarks, and in some cases, are spending more than what a detached home might cost. Multiple offers, once unheard of, have become a reality in some centres."

New benchmarks for the most expensive apartment-style condominium units ever sold through MLS have been reported in several cities in 2007, including Vancouver ($18 million), Calgary ($3.7 million), Edmonton ($2.3 million), Winnipeg ($1.25 million), and Kitchener-Waterloo ($670,000).

Given solid demand through all price ranges, it comes as no surprise that investors have been very active in the majority of markets surveyed, hoping to snap up a piece of the pie while demand remains at peak levels. Yet, with a growing number looking for a quick return on investment, swelling inventory levels have become a serious concern in several markets, most notably in Calgary and Edmonton, and to a much lesser extent, Kelowna.

"The impact of speculation, especially in Canada's largest condominium markets, have yet to be determined, but concerns for the future are relevant," says Ash. "In downtown Vancouver, an estimated 50 per cent of sales activity is attributed to investors, whereas as much as 60-85 per cent of new condominiums sales in Toronto's downtown core reportedly involved investors in 2007. This is a major factor that could influence prices in years to come."

For now, a number of market fundamentals point to increased growth in sales, prices and demand well into 2008. These include vibrant economies, Canada's aging population, rising prices, and higher levels of immigration, to name a few.

Slow and steady growth forecast for residential real estate, Canadian home sales to top 500,000 in 2007.

Kelowna, BC (October 17, 2007) - After posting extraordinary gains in 2007, housing market performance will moderate in most major Canadian centres in 2008, according to a report released today by RE/MAX.

The RE/MAX Housing Market Outlook 2008 examined residential real estate trends in 18 markets across the country. The report found that while economic prospects will continue to improve next year, few major markets are expected to exceed record sales levels set in 2007. Winnipeg, Hamilton-Burlington, Kitchener-Waterloo, London-St. Thomas, Ottawa, Sudbury, Saint John, Halifax-Dartmouth, and St. John's are all predicted to buck the trend in 2008, with appreciation ranging from one to seven per cent. Average price is forecast to increase in 78 per cent of markets surveyed next year, with the lowest price increase expected in Edmonton and the highest in St. John's.

Nationally, the number of homes sold is expected to break through the half-million threshold in 2007, climbing 13 per cent to an estimated 545,400 units, up from 483,770 units one year ago. Average price is projected to appreciate nine per cent to $303,000, up about $25,000 over 2006 levels. In 2008, home sales are expected to retreat to 500,000 units while Canadian housing values are forecast to continue their ascent, rising six per cent to $321,000.

"Clearly, economic prosperity has translated into increased housing sales and upward pressure on prices across the board," says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. "The country's economic engine fired on all cylinders throughout the year, despite dire conditions south of the border. As in 2007, inventory will be the major wildcard next year - the ultimate variable most expected to influence housing market conditions and performance. A return to tight market conditions could mean all bets are off as buyers are forced to compete, creating increased market pressure."

Major market frontrunners for price appreciation in 2008 include St. John's (12 per cent), Regina and Kelowna - Central Okanagan (nine per cent), Hamilton-Burlington and Saint John (eight per cent) and Greater Vancouver (seven per cent). Leading the country in sales growth next year will be Kitchener-Waterloo (seven per cent), followed by Hamilton-Burlington, London-St. Thomas, Sudbury and Halifax-Dartmouth, each forecasting a five per cent gain.

Higher mortgage rates and increased inventory levels failed to materialize in most major centres, making 2007 a record year for real estate activity in Canada. By year-end, housing values across the country are expected to shatter existing records. Serious double-digit increases in average price are forecasted for Saskatoon (49), Edmonton (31.5), Regina (21), Calgary (20), Sudbury (20), Kelowna (19.5) Saint John (17), St. John's (12), and Greater Vancouver (10).

Saskatchewan dominated real estate news in 2007, reporting some of the highest percentage increases in unit sales. The number of homes sold in Regina by year-end is expected to top 35 per cent, bringing sales to an estimated 4,000 units. Neighbouring Saskatoon is forecast to climb 28 per cent to 4,400 units in 2007. Other centres expected to post double-digit gains in activity include Saint John (19 per cent) Kitchener-Waterloo (13 per cent), Halifax-Dartmouth (12 per cent), St. John's (11 per cent), and Toronto (10 per cent).

"Western markets were first out of the gate in 2007, but those in the East followed suit," says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. "By year-end, some of the most impressive gains in home sales will be realized in Ontario and Atlantic Canada. Solid economic fundamentals, including billions of dollars in capital projects, a positive unemployment outlook, and solid consumer confidence levels will propel markets forward. A slow and steady growth trajectory, minus the peaks and valleys experienced in 2007, is forecast for next year."

Luxury sales experience serious upward momentum in major Canadian markets.

Kelowna, BC (September 5, 2007) - Consistent return on investment has prompted an unprecedented upswing in luxury home sales in major Canadian centres so far this year, according to a report released by RE/MAX.

The RE/MAX Upper-End Market Trends Report examined trends and activity in 16 markets across the country between January and July 2007. Luxury home sales were up over the same period one-year ago in all markets, with percentage increases ranging from 13 per cent in Victoria to 521 per cent in Edmonton. Four markets, including Edmonton, Regina, Saskatoon and Ottawa, reported triple-digit increases while double-digit gains characterized remaining markets. The report also found that the upper-end price points were under stress in most markets surveyed.

"Strong economic performance, especially in Western Canadian provinces, has bolstered consumer confidence levels to such a degree that purchasers in the upper-end are comfortable with a million dollar plus investment in real estate," says Elton Ash, Regional Executive Vice President, RE/MAX of Western Canada. "Recent volatility in the stock market may trigger further investment in real estate as purchasers move to reallocate their holdings."

Solid gains in housing values - especially in the top-end of the market - have garnered much attention. The steady upward trending has attracted a growing number of affluent purchasers who are taking advantage of both the increased equity and the capital gains exemption for a principle residence.

"The consumer appetite for luxury property has been insatiable," says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. "Unabated demand throughout the year has created tight market conditions in a number of blue chip neighbourhoods. Limited availability of product has, in turn, placed mounting pressure on housing values. As a result, the million dollar home no longer holds the same cache it once did and in larger markets such as Vancouver, Calgary, and Toronto, it's simply a starting price."

Out-of-province and international purchasers are active in most markets surveyed, but locals still account for the majority of upper-end sales. Benchmark sales, including one home priced at close to $16 million in Toronto, are occurring with greater frequency and overall, there are more sales taking place in the very upper reaches of the marketplace this year. In smaller centres, benchmarks have been set throughout the year and although some, such as Regina, have yet to report a $1 million sale, the day is nearing.

Upscale condominium sales are also climbing as empty-nesters and retirees up the ante for these types of property. The most expensive sale to date occurred in Vancouver at close to $5 million, while the priciest listing carries a price tag of $18.2 million in the same centre.

"It appears that a growing percentage of the population has that kind of money to spend," says Polzler. "Growth in market capitalization has generated tremendous wealth in recent years - in fact, both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reported double-digit growth in 2006. Demand for luxury goods overall - upscale homes, fine art, collectable cars -- is outpacing demand for everyday consumables. Inheritance has played a significant role as well, with the download on an estimated $1 trillion amount already underway."

"When it comes to shelter, these upscale purchasers clearly want it all," says Ash. "Price is really no obstacle when it comes to creating a legacy."

Calgary Statistics | Calgary News | eNewsletter
Book Mark this Page | Forward to a Friend